Sunday, 22 September, 2019

Hurricane Dorian strengthens, becomes Category 2 hurricane

South Florida Water Management District				
					Hurricane Dorian spaghetti model South Florida Water Management District Hurricane Dorian spaghetti model
Sandra Phillips | 31 August, 2019, 22:09

Dorian was 330 miles east of the Bahamas Thursday evening, and was expected to reach the southeastern end of the archipelago overnight.

Because it isn't for another four to seven days before Dorian will make its closest approach to this zone north of Florida and forecasting the track has large errors so far out, it's not possible to pinpoint if and where the storm will make landfall and how close it will track to the coast.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis declared a state of emergency, clearing the way to bring in more fuel and call out the National Guard if necessary, and Georgia's governor followed suit.

Dorian, expected to strengthen in the Atlantic with violent winds topping 130 miles per hour, is aiming at central Florida, including the famed Space Coast.

"The time to act is now", DeSantis said at a press conference Thursday.

CoreLogic estimated based on NHC's Thursday 5:00 EST forecast that 668,052 homes with a combined $144.6 billion reconstruction cost value would be exposed to storm surge. The storm is suppose to move northwards at some point, but uncertainty remains on exactly when it'll move to the north.

KBW analysts also think that YTD loss creep and potentially significant Dorian losses means that catastrophe reinsurance rate increases and elevated reinsurance demand will persist into 2020.

"It's important for Floridians on the East Coast to monitor this storm closely".

"Now it's looking like it could be an absolute monster", Trump said in a video posted on Twitter, adding that food and water was being shipped to Florida. "We're prepared for a big response", Byard said.

Though Dorian is growing in intensity, some of the more reliable computer models predicted a late turn northward that would have Dorian hug the coast, the National Hurricane Center said.

"The state stands ready to support all counties along the coast as they prepare". FPREN updates can be heard on local public radio stations and by downloading their free Florida Storms app.

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Since Dorian had minimal impact on Puerto Rico, the agency is shifting staff from the island to Florida in preparation.

Lindsay, who noted a high percentage of their membership are agents and brokers in the Florida and Southeast area, said these results are not surprising.

The U.S. Secret Service declined to respond to the Tampa Bay Times' questions about security measures the resort would take.

Dorian is expected to become a major hurricane by Friday afternoon and continue to gain strength until it makes landfall. "It looks like the winds are going to be unbelievably high".

Dorian was located fewer than 600 miles east of West Palm Beach as of 9 p.m. EST.

Trump said Vice President Mike Pence would make the trip to Poland in his place so that he could remain in the United States to make sure federal resources were properly directed at the arriving storm.

"It felt like it was better to be safe than sorry, so we canceled our plans", she said.

"Dorian is likely to remain an extremely unsafe hurricane while it moves near the northwestern Bahamas and approaches the Florida peninsula through the weekend", the hurricane center said Friday.

"A storm of this magnitude can create significant damage to your home, and endanger the people inside", said Mark Jenkins, spokesman, AAA - The Auto Club Group, AAA's Florida subsidiary, said in a statement Thursday.

Group of simulations from American (blue) and European (red) computer models from Saturday morning for Tropical Storm Dorian.

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