Monday, 19 August, 2019

NHC says 20% chance of cyclone over Gulf of Mexico

A tropical wave in the southwestern Gulf has only a 40 percent chance of becoming a tropical depression before moving inland later today or tonight A tropical wave in the southwestern Gulf has only a 40 percent chance of becoming a tropical depression before moving inland later today or tonight
Sandra Phillips | 06 June, 2019, 16:11

Right now the National Hurricane Center gives it a 60% chance of development into a classified tropical system.

The national hurricane center (NHC) said Sunday, June 2, in the Gulf of Campeche Mexico with frequent showers and thunderstorms.

Computer models are in general agreement that Invest 91L will move northwestward along the coast of Mexico. While the broad area of low pressure remains disorganized- even if it became a depression- impacts remain the same.

"Regardless of whether it will receive the name or not, the storm will bring heavy rain to the coast", said Dean.

The tropical wave in the southern Gulf of Mexico is running out of time to get its act together.

If this system were to strengthen and receive a name, it would be called "Barry".

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A frontal boundary will stall in the area by mid week, helping to draw up this deep moisture, and possibly produce some heavy rainfall in or near the region.

Stratton said there is a chance this disturbance can develop into a weak tropical system.

"There is great concern that torrential downpours associated with the feature, developed or not, may overlap areas that are now being hit hard by flooding or teetering on the edge of flooding over the South Central states during the first full week of June", AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski said. Parts of Louisiana could receive some rainfall by Friday.

At the very least it is a reminder that hurricane season has started.

The official season lasts from June 1 until November 30.

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