Tuesday, 20 November, 2018

What are the 2018 midterm elections and why do they matter?

Some 250,000 jobs were created last month beating expectations Some 250,000 jobs were created last month beating expectations
Russell Knight | 06 November, 2018, 08:56

Of the 36 governorships that will be on the line, 26 are now held by Republicans and nine controlled by Democrats. That's unlikely, by all accounts, because the map is so friendly for the GOP.

Trump is not on the ballot in the midterms, in which the entire House of Representatives and a third of the Senate are up for grabs.

Cynthia Nixon of "Sex and the City" fame lost the Democratic primary for governor, and to free up the Working Families Party ballot line for Gov. Andrew Cuomo she was added to the ballot for this Assembly seat.

President Donald Trump is under pressure as polls indicate the Democrats could be about to take a majority in the House.

If Democrats win the House, impeachment will quickly become their biggest hot potato.

The Democrats' leader in the House, Nancy Pelosi, pledged a confrontational approach toward the administration in an interview published Monday in HuffPost. If the map were anywhere close to neutral, and the environment were as it is, Democrats would be virtually guaranteed a House takeover right now.

Millions have already cast their ballots in early voting that has surpassed records for midterms, with numbers boosted by the young and in some cases, first-time voters.

But as Hurl points out, looking back on polls leading up to the 2016 presidential election, there's still a lot of uncertainty around Tuesday's results. And as Trump travels the country armed with a divisive and racially charged closing campaign message, the test for Democrats now feels at once similar and more urgent than it did two years ago: They failed to stop Trump then, what if they fall short again?

Hurl pointed out the divisions that often occur in both parties, which can muddy the significance between a narrow Democratic majority and a narrow Republican majority. The gains would be north of 40 or 45 seats and give Democrats a substantial House majority - comparable to the GOP's current 42-seat majority. Thomas Croci, a fellow Republican, in the 3rd Senate District. Republicans, who have 51 seats, have a six in seven chance of retaining control. And 35 Senate seats are in play, as are nearly 40 governorships and the balance of power in virtually every state legislature.

Sen. Heidi Heitkamp, D-N.D., speaks during a Senate Banking Committee hearing in Washington on May 24, 2018. The reforms signed into law by Democratic president Barack Obama have helped millions of Americans gain insurance.

The Republican president has also been warning the other party will destroy a healthy USA economy if they win the keys to power.

Sunday Night Showdown: Brady vs. Rodgers
Perkins is coming off of a 217-yard passing and 112-yard rushing performance in Virginia's win against North Carolina. Sony Michel and Aaron Jones are among some of the best young running backs in the National Football League right now.

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"The US Congress holds midterm elections on Tuesday and the Democrats are hoping to break their grip on the levers of power, according to analysts at Westpac".

As recently as last week, when Trump was accused of sowing division with his response to the synagogue shootings in Pittsburgh and harsh rhetoric on migrants travelling to the United States border from Central America, voters heard little about that from Democrats running for Congress.

Don Albrecht, a 75-year-old accountant and Republican who voted for Trump in 2016, lives blocks away from the Louisville grocery store where two people died. And it wouldn't be wrong. That could change with a Democratic-controlled House. FiveThirtyEight has them at a 1-in-8 shot.

"You gotta get to the polls on Tuesday, and you gotta vote", Trump implored a crowd in Macon, Georgia, where he campaigned for the Republican gubernatorial candidate in one of the country's tightest major races. It could result in states such as Nevada or even Arizona staying under GOP control and deliver states like Florida, Indiana, Missouri and Montana.

In a special election in April, Steve Stern, a former Suffolk County legislator, defeated his Republican rival and flipped this historically red seat to blue - by an impressive 59 percent to 41 percent margin. "Deplorable is adorable", read a T-shirt worn by a Trump supporter at his rally. The party, early in this congressional election season, made a collective determination not to regularly confront the president, according to multiple party sources.

In the House, Democrats have candidates in 20 of the 21 open Republican seats, while the GOP has challengers in just 5 of the 12 Democratic openings. It has not been unusual for a Democratic campaign event to occur with no reference to the president.

There are simply so many toss-ups - 30 in the House and nine in the Senate - that weird things can happen.

They're different from state and local elections, which happen every year.

What it would mean: The same as above - chaos - except less specifically partisan.

"None of us are indispensable, but some of us are just better at what we do", she said.

Female participation in the political arena has also broken barriers.

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