Saturday, 23 June, 2018

Tropical Storm Aletta weakens as Bug develops

Hurricane predictions for 2018 Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published broadcast rewritten or redistributed
Patty Aguilar | 10 June, 2018, 21:37

Aletta has rapidly intensified into the hemisphere's first major hurricane for 2018 as the storm hits maximum sustained winds of up to 140 miles per hour, The Weather Channel reported. On Saturday, the storm began to weaken and was downgraded to a Category 1 storm, according to the National Hurricane Center.

The hurricane is forecast to move roughly parallel to the Mexican coast for several days and then head farther out into the Pacific Ocean. This disturbance is now a cluster of storms, but is becoming better organized.

As of 9 a.m. MT on Friday, the center of Aletta was located about 815 kilometers (505 miles) southwest of Manzanillo in Mexico.

When Tropical Depression Three-E becomes a tropical storm, it will earn the name Bud.

It's too soon to determine whether this second system will eventually pose a direct threat to parts of Baja California next week.

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Some outer rainbands could push ashore, at times, possibly triggering local flash flooding if they persist in any area for a few hours at a time.

With the formation of Aletta, the hurricane season in the Eastern Pacific basin is off to an early start.

Mexico's National Water Commission (Conagua) is predicting 32 hurricanes for this season, four more than average, with 18 in the Pacific and 14 in the Atlantic. It's happened seven other times since 1970, according to NOAA's historical hurricanes database.

It was expected to become a hurricane late Sunday or early Monday, but was projected to weaken back to tropical storm force in cooler waters near the Baja California Peninsula.

While it may seem unusual for the Pacific's first storm to be so strong, Weather.com meteorologist Jonathan Erdman discovered it's not all that uncommon.

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