Saturday, 23 June, 2018

The Texas Primaries: 6 Takeaways To Kick Off The 2018 Election Cycle

The Texas Primaries: 6 Takeaways To Kick Off The 2018 Election Cycle The Texas Primaries: 6 Takeaways To Kick Off The 2018 Election Cycle
Sandra Phillips | 10 March, 2018, 14:05

In the state's 10 counties with the highest number of registered voters, 370,219 Democrats voted early compared to 282,928 Republicans. Yes, those were competitive primaries for Democrats while the GOP is running three incumbents who faced token opposition, but those districts are still in play - and they're happening in the suburbs, where Trump's approval rating is suffering. We know, for example, that Florida governor Rick Scott is going to spend an obscene amount of money in his likely race against Bill Nelson. Other manufacturing-state Democrats like Bob Casey of Pennsylvania and Joe Manchin of West Virginia, applauded Trump's move.

Energized and angry Democrats in Texas, where the GOP has dominated for decades, came out in force to surpass 1 million voters Tuesday - the first time the party has eclipsed that benchmark in a midterm primary since 2002, just months after the September 11 attacks.

As for the specific seats Democrats hope to capture in November, it appears that Republicans would retain control if the races were decided on the basis of Tuesday's primary vote.

Many women ran in a record eight open congressional races this year in Texas - two of which are up for grabs after longtime GOP incumbents abandoned plans for re-election amid scandal.

As the New York Times' live election night coverage noted, both the Democratic and Republican parties were exhibiting the same internal partisan divides that plagued both parties in 2016. Democrats haven't won a statewide office in Texas since 1994 - the nation's longest streak.

The message after the Texas primary is twofold: Texas is not turning blue, but Democratic enthusiasm is real.

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Texas has 36 House seats. Sylvia Garcia, running to replace Democratic Rep. Gene Green in Houston, are the overwhelming favorites to be the first Latinas sent to Congress from Texas. Texas, which shares the longest border with Mexico, has been subjected to "wall" chants and anti-immigrant narratives. Strategists will be watching if she advances to a runoff despite attacks from fellow Democrats.

Former former Obama administration official Lillian Salerno and former National Football League linebacker and a civil rights attorney Colin Allred advanced Tuesday to a May 22 runoff for the Democratic nomination for the 32nd Congressional District seat. And a Democratic candidate endorsed by House Minority Whip Steny Hoyer was edged out by a political novice, who is a pastor and former math teacher. And when that candidate raised $1 million or more before a primary, he or she was really seen as a favorite.

Amid the fairly large swings in the congressional generic ballot over the last three months, the odds of a Democratic takeover of the House have gone from very high to shockingly low to reasonably strong.

Not a chance on earth he'll get a vote from million of Texans.

David Wasserman, a congressional elections expert in Washington, said that even in a primary election, the enthusiasm level showed by Democrats is consequential.

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