Monday, 22 October, 2018

Alphabet studies how deep learning could predict heart disease risk

До чего техника дошла в Google научились предсказывать болезни сердца по сетчатке глаза Alphabet studies how deep learning could predict heart disease risk
Emmett Howard | 23 February, 2018, 00:01

Using retinal imaging, a newly developed "deep learning" algorithm has demonstrated considerable accuracy in identifying patients who may be at risk for major cardiac events. Scientists at Google and its healthcare research subsidiary, Verily have documented a new artificial intelligence based preventive diagnosis process for assessing the risk of cardiovascular diseases in patients. This information included eye scans as well as general medical data. With regard to major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) within 5 years, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was found to be 0.70 (95% CI: 0.648-0.740) with the model compared to 0.72 (95% CI: 0.67-0.76) with the composite European SCORE risk calculator.

A 70 percent success rate will not replace current methods of detection (which do better than 70 percent) as of now and will not gain broad acceptance until the findings are validated with a bigger group size and having been repeated. For example, the algorithm focused on how the blood vessels looked when making predictions about a patient's blood pressure.

A joint study between the two firms has given rise to a new process of the diagnosing risk of heart diseases among individuals.

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Lily Peng, a doctor and lead researcher on the project, says Google was surprised by the results.

The researchers conclude that their results "indicate that the application of deep learning to retinal fundus images alone can be used to predict multiple cardiovascular risk factors". The team was originally working on predicting eye disease. Observing and quantifying associations with medical images is a challenge because of the wide variety of features present in real images.

The algorithm could speed assessments of patients' cardiovascular risk, but more testing is required before it can be used in a clinical setting.

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