Tuesday, 16 January, 2018

China Officers Are Stated to View Treasuries Much less Engaging

KODK stock China says no plan to reduce US Treasury purchases
Patty Aguilar | 13 January, 2018, 13:27

Yesterday, we noted a Bloomberg report that indicated some senior Chinese government officials had recommended "slowing or halting purchases of U.S. Treasuries". The officials recommended that China closely watch factors such as the outlook for supply of US government debt, along with political developments including trade disputes between the world's two biggest economies, when deciding whether to cut some Treasury holdings, the people said.

Following the reports, USA treasury bonds surged while the dollar went lower and the price of gold appreciated.

Bond veteran Bill Gross says a bear market has begun, read about that here. While China has about a fifth of all foreign-held US debt at $1.2 trillion, making it the largest single holder, it's not clear how much of a sustained impact a Chinese retreat would have on USA borrowing costs. For China, trade tensions with the United States may also provide a reason to slow or stop buying American debt. It isn't clear whether the recommendations of the officials have been adopted.

"Given possible US protectionist measures, it makes sense for China to preemptively flag that it holds some important cards, which could restrain the USA actions", Alan Ruskin, global co-head of foreign exchange research at Deutsche Bank, said in a note.

China says no plan to reduce US Treasury purchases

China's posture that China could retaliate by withdrawing some of its support for the USA debt market is also seen as a warning to the Trump administration against taking a hard line on trade.

Any reduction in Chinese purchases would come just as the USA prepares to boost its supply of debt.

Bloomberg News reported Wednesday that officials reviewing China's foreign-exchange holdings had recommended slowing or halting purchases of US Treasuries, citing people familiar with the matter. Data from China's central bank showed that China's foreign exchange reserves rose $3.14 trillion in December as tight regulations and a strong yuan continued to discourage capital outflows. If China considers halting their purchases of U.S. government bonds, that would amount to more quantitative tightening.

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